Saturday, October 25, 2008

Deflation

It costs less to fill up my gas tank today than a year ago: gas prices fall.

Plus, if you hadn't noticed, stocks and houses are cheaper. Even gold is down. That's deflation baby. But knowing that Paulson is injecting like a tenderloin resident an hour after getting a welfare check; why aren't prices through the roof?




  • fear savings


    • people, and institutions, are scared to spend any money they have

    • this means more money in the safe, less in circulation


  • credit crunch


    • decreased available credit = deflation


  • trickle down inflation


    • Paulson is throwing money at big institutions, it will take a while before we feel the effect




If nothing else changes, I agree with the video: we'll see mild deflation for one to three months, after which we'll experience hyperinflation.

Buffet was slightly premature (Oct 17, 2008):


Note that this is blatant Socialism.

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